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[2021년 제 6차] Can a Machine Learn from Behavioral Biases? Evidence from Stock Return Predictability of Deep Learning Models

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We examine how the return predictability of deep learning models varies with stocks’ vulnerability to investors’ behavioral biases. Using an extensive list of anomaly variables, we find that the long-short strategy based on deep learning signals generates greater returns for stocks more vulnerable to behavioral biases: stocks that are small, young, illiquid, unprofitable, volatile, non-dividend-paying, close to default or extreme growth, far from the 52-week high, and lottery-like. Such performance of deep learning models becomes more pronounced for stocks held by less sophisticated investors. These results suggest that deep learning models accommodating time-varying nonlinear factor exposures are useful in capturing mispricing induced by behavioral biases. 

 

JEL classification: To be included

Keywords: Deep Learning, Behavioral Biases, Empirical Asset Pricing​ 

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2-2_Can_a_Machine_Learn_from_Behavioral_Biases.pdf
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